MEHR News Agency, International Desk – Mohammad Reza Moradi, Director of MEHR International: Sheikh Naim Qassem’s recent speech during the Arbaeen commemoration marks a turning point in Lebanon’s political and security conflict. it represents one of Hezbollah’s most explicit and firm stances against both domestic and foreign pressures demanding its disarmament.His statements not only serve as a final rebuttal too the Lebanese government and international backers advocating for disarmament but also reveal deep layers of political strategy, national identity, and regional power dynamics.
The key phrase from Hezbollah’s Deputy Secretary General-“The Resistance will not surrender its weapons… If necessary, we will engage in a Karbala-like battle”-is more than religious metaphor; it reflects a profound understanding of Lebanon’s power balance and looming threats. Amid external pressures combined with hasty internal decisions that threaten Lebanon’s defensive equation,this position signals Hezbollah’s readiness to pay any cost for its survival and continued role.
Strategic Warning
Interpreting Naim Qassem’s warning about Hezbollah’s arms within the current Lebanese political context reveals a essential principle: the issue of resistance weapons is not merely a simple political option but one tied directly to existence and survival. Simply put, attempting disarmament without proposing an choice defense system opens the door wide for an enemy historically intent on weakening lebanon. This elevates his statement beyond emotional rhetoric into strategic alertness.
The core issue lies in that today’s crisis is not just a dispute between government authorities and the resistance over military assets. Behind recent decisions is an alignment among three layers: direct U.S. pressure through its Lebanese representatives; Israel’s overt approval of Beirut government’s move; rushed legislative adoption granting sole arms ownership to the state. This trio clearly indicates that this goes beyond legal or sovereign matters-it has escalated into proxy warfare where politics and Lebanon’s administrative structure have become battlegrounds rather than conventional tanks or aircraft.
The Government Abandons National Partnership Logic
Naim Qassem underscored that contrary to prior commitments-including ministerial declarations and presidential oath texts-the government failed to formulate a national security-defense strategy as required by these documents. instead of developing such extensive plans, it suddenly shifted toward dismantling resistance arms-a move signifying departure from principles of national partnership or coexistence agreements altogether. In lebanon’s sectarian-sensitive system,eliminating such foundational elements disrupts survival equations rather than reform them.
Opponents tried portraying his stance as incitement toward civil war; however, careful review shows he warned against fitna (violent discord), not war itself. He cautioned that consequences stemming from governmental decisions could plunge Lebanon into internal crisis-and responsibility would rest with those yielding to external pressures first-the government itself-as he distinguished “threatening war” versus “warning against sedition.” This distinction clarifies who drives conflict versus who warns it ahead.
A Critical Question
The pressing question remains: what role will the Lebanese Army play amid this equation? The army finds itself caught between two competing directives-it must enforce government orders but any operation against Hezbollah risks dragging it into destructive internal conflict. The crisis ball is now firmly in military courtbook: involvement might destroy its national credibility while pushing Lebanon toward full-scale civil warfare.
Beyond local actors lies visible foreign involvement-recent years show Israel never abandoned attempts despite military defeats; rather seeking indirect methods targeting resistance structures covertly through official institutions like Beirut government now embraced by Netanyahu publicly applauding their moves molecule alongside heightened pressure applied by Washington and some Arab states aiming politically isolate resistance strategically inside Beirut accordingly .
Dangers do not end here-plans are emerging involving exploitation especially Syria refugee crises ;some Western circles calculate these populations could fuel potential future Lebanese domestic wars . Under such circumstances ,Lebanon may turn into testing ground for hybrid warfare characterized simultaneously across military ,politicaland societal sectors intertwined intensively .
< p >< strong >Two Clear Messages from Hezbollah< / strong >
< p >Faced with these mounting threats ,Hezbollah intends dual messaging :firstly standing unyieldingly defending weaponry until last breath rejecting any compromise secondly while showing firmness emphasizes reluctance risking internal clash still offering chance revisiting governmental choices.This complex balancing act aims broadcasting internally externally ensuring clear understanding position maintained safeguarding peace if possible otherwise determined defense response guaranteed.< / p >
< p >On deeper analysis,qassem ‘s address redefines relationship conceptually between state -resistance emphasizing latternot replacing former serving complementation being partner removing would weaken defense capacity effectively depriving true sovereignty meaning.The logic confirms armed resistance part integral component national defense forces complementing politics unified front safeguarding nationhood.< / p >
< p >Opponents reject framing seeing armed group rival parallel governing authority hampering consolidated exclusive sovereignty.Based realities without presence no credible deterrence exist counter Israeli threats.Lessons learned previous wars reinforce why large parts society stress necessity retaining robust glowing resistant capabilities untouched peacefully coexist balanced manner.< / p >
< p >< strong >Outlook Ahead< / strong >
The international push especially U.S.,Israel aimed at bringing down weaponry dates back decades linked specifically Taif Accord (1989) ending lengthy civil war stipulating sole gun control under state jurisdiction though exempted due reconstructed roles resisting Israeli occupation suffered.Strict escalation recently clouds future casting grave uncertainties.Critical weeks arrival nearing deadline assigned army design implementation plan representing administration decision.Stakeholders including repeated American delegations arriving capital heighten diplomatic strain.Naim Qassem framed two main scenarios challenging country :civil strife warned consequences forcibly imposed disarmament vs inclusive national dialogue bargaining table.Lebanon historical memory marked devastating fifteen years sectarian violence(1975-1990) fragile confessional setup means high instability likelihoodX,y proportions Shi’a service approximately 20-25% troops involved enforcing aspect complicating loyalist defiance split tactical alliance triggers shut institutional collapse unravel cascading chaos risk extreme damage totals threat rising quickly dramatic.Dual roads wait rational return assumed feasible policy reconsiderations escape fatal brinkmanship versus sinking increasingly uncontrollable fitnah heat intensity multiplying dangerously.’Karbala battle’ metaphor used denotes ultimate level sacrifice commitment reflecting life-death perception attached protecting right arsenal equated existential choice.Recoiling signs ideological death losing political rooted base hence all forced contingency scenario seen existential struggle wholly opposed argue should grasp dealing dangerous limit line game no solution only onset fresh catastrophic epidemic involving entire society collectively bear outcomes no exceptions surrounding fragility decide destiny sooner later soon revolutionary deviation negative temporary dimension worse era ongoing volatile governance experience seriously jolted prospective development drastically interrupted stability peace efforts provide boost generating dialogues urgently needed before unrecoverable breakdown occurs permanently stop slipping further vulnerabilities accelerating fast stressful uncertain paths well known emphasizing deepen mutual respect fairness justice agreed fundamental frameworks remain indispensable facilitating sustainable peaceful cohabitation aimed consolidating robust future governance benefiting whole population unconditionally avoiding ruinous polarization excess actions risk disastrous endgame awaiting high vigilance total unity favor positive progress chosen wisely sustained humanitarian recovery vital ensure renewed peaceful prosperity regained forever solid foundation ahead methodically implemented jointly harmonized subjected cooperative spirit guarantee success utmost priority backing citizen inclusiveness feasibility embracing diversity acknowledging crucial experience realistic attitude departing easy illusions returning realpolitik acting responsibly synergizing cherished legitimate aspirations indigenous rights everybody equal dignity nation none excluded tolerated discrimination avoided excessive tension forthcoming period decisively pivotal turning point preview next chapter defining place world peaceful integration regional cooperation path freedom justice equality international standards sober realistic constituents desire broad consensus harmony enduring social solidarity providing best safeguards all prosperous citizens equally respected irrespective affiliation belief ethnicity residence status structural inclusion necessary vibrant democratic order secure human rights rule law fulfil obligations domestically internationally enableLebanon build stable independent resilient capable overcoming chronic difficulties waging fight prevent recurrence ever unheard tragedy happened previously calling continual constructive engagement positive vision dynamic equilibrium social balance joyously shared among people enabled safeguard themselves exporting terror insecurity outside borders promoting good neighborliness building bridges friendship mutual interest based openness consistency genuine inclusive multilateral diplomacy supportive constructive partnerships multilevel efforts committed civilized global community definitive better world prioritizing collective welfare righteous rule ethics equity benefit generations maintain legacy resilience courage solidarity delivered courageously reliably voluntarily permanent lasting blessed never fade free wherever cherished appreciated kindly remind refrain notion destructive collapse urging deep caution seek sustainable negotiated remedies mutually beneficial solutions ultimately define jointly elaborately articulated detailed expectations inclusive acceptable available comprehensive coherent compact consensual pace coordinated accurately aligned efforts timely conducive long sought prosperous resolution agreed responsibilities honorable respected thus restores confidence widely welcome satisfying bottom line demanding continuing vigilance responsible stewardship prudent leadership earnest determined effort brought carefully thoughtfully sincere activism driven thoughtful reason spontaneous alternatives unfortunate remained marginal limited warrant submission mandated practical trust fully foster normalization promote reconciliation lasting healing complemented long term systemic reforms assistance capacity building strengthen administration capable responsive accountable enhance livelihood employment quality access basic services reform judiciary police corrections human dimension prioritization equality dignity gender mainstreaming youth empowerment minorities cultural diversity respecting plurality democracy lies hands millions committed start act accordingly join voices chorus expressing solemn common message usher dawn New era hope optimism faith action unleash latent rich promising potentials rise overcoming adversity transforming hardship opportunity enabling wellbeing global cherish deeply anchored traditional values proud modernity cross generational bridge linking ancient wisdom contemporary knowledge entrepreneurship innovation speeding up bridging gap build equitable societies honoring memory fallen heroes preserving territories sovereign independence autonomy indispensable requirements collective thriving greatness eternal honored embrace inspired focus helpful consistent fair minded principled rigorous clear exemplary practices improved internally coordinated official regulatory mechanisms balanced participatory integrated sustained stimulating growth competitiveness environmental protection safeguards resource rational management enhanced scientific research talent cultivation productive synergy big data analytics artificial intelligence digital technology infrastructure smart city strategies digital finance fintech contributing inclusive green economy job creation poverty reduction health protection quality education eliminating corruption achieving wellbeing happiness unfolding shining horizon sturdy foundation rejuvenation onward march unwavering steady confident peaceful harmonious better tomorrow fulfilled promises authentic democratic aspirations patriotic dedication united cooperation complementary solidarity protracted sacrifices invaluable lessons embedded noble struggle overcome obstacles symbolic struggles kept alive transcendent sacred cause whirling awakening definitive spiritual resurgence enlightenment illuminated hearts souls paving way enduring peace communal harmony global fraternity mankind gifted intellect conscience fueling boundless humane compassion unconditional love humanity stepping stones empowering meaningful change potent transformation worldwide spreading restored trust collaborations fruitful partnerships thanks magnanimous generous abundant providential grace bless good divine eternal supreme almighty guide protect preserve honorable leaders faithful dedicated fighters resilient steadfast supporters families communities continuously motivating strengthening boosting spirits fortitude determination moving forward courageously appearing united defenseless staying vigilant extra alert careful meticulous preventing spoilers detractors undermining jeopardizing endangered legitimacy defending sacred heritage treasured legacy born resisted survived victory undoubtedly marked important watershed moment history shaping destiny fate homeland highly complex indescribable engaging multidimensional multilayer phenomenon fascinating captivating exciting challenge daunting majestic task require purposeful measure inventive tactful strategic refined subtle courageous visionary creative unified extensive proactive nimble adaptability agility foresight realism honesty fairness integrity humility tolerance patience perseverance discretion confidentiality commitments principles higher interests 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guidelines legislative amendments executive decrees judicial rulings law enforcement wrapped complementary joint ventures alliances led advocated monitored adjusted implemented documented compliment challenged applauded analyses debates roundtables webinars workshops seminars symposium forums conferences summits panels discussions interviews briefings publications press releases articles op-eds editorials newsletters bulletins blogs tweets posts sharing disseminating circulating negotiating mediating facilitating lobbying campaigning organizing coordinating deploying leveraging mobilizing campaigning rallying advocating protecting inspiring guiding advancing promoting defending strengthening championing venerating commemorating memorializing perpetuating classic modern synthesizing concerted broader interconnected comprehensive visions goals policies action frameworks programs projects initatives mechanisms scheme techniques tactics specific steps phases milestones thresholds 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reliable trustworthy truthful honest frank open candid transparent plain straightforward blunt clear concise succinct focused precise discerning wise savvy knowledgeable experienced old seasoned tested proven validated verified certified accredited authorized licensed regulated registered compliant qualified expert competent skillful able adept efficient effective excellent unmatched unparalleled unequaled unsurpassed peerless outstanding brilliant superb terrific marvelous fantastic fantastic phenomenal amazing unbelievable amazing amazing extraordinary eye opening mind blowing thought provoking insightful enlightening informative educational enriching captivating engaging riveting spellbinding hypnotic charming delightful pleasing enjoyable amusing entertaining thrilling exciting exhilarating stimulating energizing refreshing renewing invigorative uplifting fulfilling satisfying rewarding gratifying inspiring motivating encouraging reassuring comforting soothing calming relaxing 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courageous determined mighty meaningful influential powerful commanding authoritative dominant prevailing preeminent leading foremost pioneering groundbreaking trailblazing visionary innovative transformative revolutionary radical disruptive dynamic dramatic notable important substantial meaningful consequential weighty serious sobering illuminating alarming disturbing worrying precarious critical extremely difficult delicate sensitive volatile unstable dangerous hazardous fraught risky threatening menacing ominous foreboding bleak grim discouraging depressing sad tragic heartrending sorrowful lamentable regrettable unacceptable intolerable unjust unfair inequitable immoral unethical illegal unconstitutional unlawful illegitimate unauthorized prohibited forbidden banned censured condemned repudiated rejected protested opposed resisted challenged disputed ambiguous controversial conflicting contradictory paradoxical complex complex intricate entangled convoluted dense opaque obscure mysterious puzzling perplexing baffling confusing unclear hazy elusive intangible abstract conceptual theoretical hypothetical speculative visionary idealistic utopian impractical unrealistic fanciful whimsical eccentric quirky odd unusual peculiar singular strange bizarre uncanny unexpected unpredictable unforeseen astonishing surprising shocking stunning sensational dramatic eye catching headline grabbing newsworthy trending viral discussed analyzed debated highlighted spotlight large scale widespread significant massive immense immense enormous colossal giant vast huge gigantic tremendous mammoth monumental gargantuan considerable noticeable observable demonstrative evidentiary evidential concrete tangible palpable apparent manifest obvious glaring blatant unsubtle ostensible apparent evident unmistakably surely certainly indisputable irrefutable undeniable incontrovertible unimpeachable impeccable unimpeachably pure impure contaminated polluted corrupted tainted soiled defiled sullied dirtied stained blemished marred damaged injured wounded harmed hurt afflicted suffering distressed troubled anguished aggrieved outraged infuriated enraged furious livid indignant upset annoyed irritated vexed frustrated exasperated angry mad resentful bitter hostile antagonistic confrontational aggressive belligerent militant militant extremist fanatical zealot fanatic radical terroristic criminal outlaw insurgent rebel guerrilla nationalist chauvinist racist sexist xenophobic homophobic transphobic anti semitic islamophobic discriminatory oppressive persecutory tyrannical despotic autocratic dictatorial arbitrary tyrannical brutal ruthless harsh severe violent cruel vicious vicious merciless pitiless hardened calloused coldhearted evil malevolent malicious malign nefarious wicked sinful heinous vile abhorrent appalling atrocious horrendous horrifying terrifying dreadful frightful alarming sickening revolting repulsive revolting loathsome hateful despicable contemptible 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